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Red34
197713.5
99874.2
99899.3
Blue60
406824.2
297219.3
99863.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254704060801001203460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1977
#20
13.50.0
13.713.7
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 10.7
24.21.5
21.523.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Second
9989
#32
9.30.0
7.47.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 10.1
2972
#18
19.31.5
15.517.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Third
9987
#44
4.20.0
3.33.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
red by 0.9
9986
#40
3.32.5
0.93.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed