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Red41
99884.8
66211.5
324526.6
Blue46
299625.8
141018.5
54939.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516302040801001204146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#14
26.60.6
27.426.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
red by 0.8
2996
#11
25.80.6
24.724.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End1.8
Second
662
#37
11.50.6
11.310.7
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End1.5
blue by 7.1
1410
#28
18.50.6
19.819.2
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
9988
#33
4.80.9
3.62.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 4.3
5493
#19
9.10.6
10.810.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed