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Red38
99903.3
99929.9
999813.5
Blue40
182220.5
17996.6
906810.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10470204060803840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#12
13.51.5
11.513.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 7.0
20.50.5
20.920.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Second
9992
#17
9.91.5
5.36.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End0.3
blue by 0.7
9068
#34
10.60.5
10.510.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Third
9990
#31
3.31.5
0.72.2
Auto1.2
Teleop2.1
End0.2
blue by 3.4
1799
#15
6.60.5
5.45.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
1%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed