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Red33
38076.5
294514.6
208322.0
Blue37
364815.6
958618.9
99959.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5339020801001201401603337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#25
22.01.2
22.321.1
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 3.2
18.90.3
15.615.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.8
End-0.2
Second
2945
#45
14.61.2
15.214.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End0.4
blue by 0.9
3648
#35
15.60.3
17.016.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Third
3807
#43
6.51.2
8.37.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 2.8
9995
#22
9.30.5
9.18.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed