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Red38
224019.0
99964.5
99884.8
Blue52
406824.2
299625.8
99899.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306302040801003852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#29
19.00.3
19.019.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.0
blue by 6.8
2996
#11
25.80.2
24.023.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End1.8
Second
9988
#33
4.80.5
2.63.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 19.4
24.20.2
23.022.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Third
9996
#36
4.50.5
1.82.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 4.8
9989
#32
9.30.2
7.37.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed