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Red52
999813.5
182220.5
297219.3
Blue51
999921.4
906810.6
320016.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554702040801005251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.1
20.420.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
blue by 0.9
9999
#13
21.40.7
18.218.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.2
Second
2972
#18
19.30.1
17.017.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.9
End1.5
red by 2.7
3200
#16
16.70.4
16.216.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Third
9998
#12
13.50.2
13.013.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 2.9
9068
#34
10.60.4
10.110.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed