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Red43
364815.6
66211.5
593313.3
Blue50
324526.6
99929.9
197713.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46493040604350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#35
15.60.3
16.716.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 11.1
3245
#14
26.60.5
26.926.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
Second
5933
#42
13.30.3
14.514.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 0.1
1977
#20
13.50.5
13.713.2
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Third
662
#37
11.50.3
10.710.5
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End1.5
red by 1.6
9992
#17
9.90.8
6.86.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned