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Red50
955212.2
83349.4
208322.0
Blue63
141018.5
449932.4
99903.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4556020801001205063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#25
22.00.2
21.121.4
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 10.4
32.40.8
28.229.0
Auto13.9
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
9552
#26
12.20.2
11.912.2
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
blue by 6.3
1410
#28
18.50.8
19.220.0
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
8334
#38
9.40.2
8.38.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 6.2
9990
#31
3.31.2
2.23.4
Auto1.2
Teleop2.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsEarned