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Red64
224019.0
372927.8
494415.8
Blue34
958618.9
99964.5
99874.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7519040601001201406434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.1
26.526.4
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
red by 9.0
18.90.9
15.316.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.8
End-0.2
Second
2240
#29
19.00.1
19.319.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 14.5
9996
#36
4.51.4
2.33.7
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Third
4944
#30
15.80.1
15.315.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 11.7
9987
#44
4.21.4
2.23.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed