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Red66
299625.8
133921.5
99916.4
Blue47
99899.3
999813.5
294514.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53330204060801006647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#11
25.81.3
23.925.2
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End1.8
red by 11.2
2945
#45
14.60.2
14.014.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End0.4
Second
1339
#10
21.51.3
18.519.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
red by 8.0
9998
#12
13.50.3
13.113.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
9991
#27
6.41.9
4.05.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 2.9
9989
#32
9.30.3
7.17.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed