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Red35
83349.4
54939.1
999311.4
Blue30
99863.3
955212.2
99959.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282201040506070803530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9993
#24
11.40.2
10.210.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End0.8
blue by 0.8
9552
#26
12.20.4
12.212.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
Second
8334
#38
9.40.1
8.68.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 0.2
9995
#22
9.30.6
8.69.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Third
5493
#19
9.10.1
9.29.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End-0.0
red by 5.8
9986
#40
3.30.5
3.64.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed