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Red76
406824.2
99884.8
999921.4
Blue58
372927.8
99916.4
455018.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505502040801001201401607658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.8
22.524.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.2
blue by 3.6
27.80.3
26.426.7
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
Second
9999
#13
21.42.4
19.021.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.2
red by 3.0
18.40.3
18.819.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End1.1
Third
9988
#33
4.82.4
2.44.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 1.6
9991
#27
6.40.4
5.96.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed