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Red43
99964.5
906810.6
133921.5
Blue34
364815.6
54939.1
955212.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060801001204334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#10
21.50.6
19.820.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
red by 6.0
3648
#35
15.60.3
16.015.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Second
9068
#34
10.60.6
10.010.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 1.6
9552
#26
12.20.3
12.512.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
Third
9996
#36
4.50.8
3.74.5
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 4.6
5493
#19
9.10.3
9.39.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed