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Red52
83349.4
197713.5
141018.5
Blue71
99899.3
438828.1
17996.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43442030405060705271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#28
18.50.8
18.018.9
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 9.5
28.11.4
26.728.1
Auto12.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Second
1977
#20
13.50.8
12.713.5
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End1.9
red by 4.2
9989
#32
9.31.9
7.49.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Third
8334
#38
9.40.8
8.79.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 2.8
1799
#15
6.61.4
5.36.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned