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Red51
748510.0
294514.6
99929.9
Blue49
161923.4
494415.8
38076.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29530204060801001205149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#45
14.60.4
14.214.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End0.4
blue by 8.8
23.40.5
23.923.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End0.2
Second
7485
#41
10.00.4
9.19.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 5.8
4944
#30
15.80.5
15.214.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
9992
#17
9.90.6
9.39.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End0.3
red by 3.4
3807
#43
6.50.5
6.96.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed