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Red49
99903.3
429322.6
441815.8
Blue50
99959.3
999813.5
324526.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4648102030406070804950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.6
22.121.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 4.0
3245
#14
26.60.1
26.226.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
Second
4418
#21
15.80.6
16.816.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End0.4
red by 2.3
9998
#12
13.50.1
13.413.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
9990
#31
3.30.8
4.13.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.1
End0.2
blue by 6.0
9995
#22
9.30.1
9.29.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed