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Red85
316614.9
203618.8
429322.6
Blue54
83349.4
141018.5
224019.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635002040801008554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.7
22.122.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 3.6
2240
#29
19.00.2
18.919.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Second
2036
#23
18.80.7
18.319.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 0.3
1410
#28
18.50.2
18.418.5
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
3166
#39
14.90.7
14.515.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 5.5
8334
#38
9.40.2
9.39.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.2