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Red78
494415.8
133921.5
372927.8
Blue64
324526.6
593313.3
449932.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67852040601001201401607864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.1
26.827.0
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
blue by 4.6
32.40.2
32.932.7
Auto13.9
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
1339
#10
21.50.1
20.620.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
blue by 5.1
3245
#14
26.60.2
27.226.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
Third
4944
#30
15.80.1
14.815.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 2.5
5933
#42
13.30.2
14.314.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7