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Red68
316614.9
203618.8
429322.6
Blue49
208322.0
297219.3
958618.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63702040801001201406849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.2
22.823.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 0.6
2083
#25
22.00.5
22.522.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Second
2036
#23
18.80.2
19.019.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
blue by 0.6
2972
#18
19.30.5
19.919.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Third
3166
#39
14.90.2
15.115.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 3.9
18.90.5
19.418.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.8
End-0.2