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Red69
494415.8
133921.5
372927.8
Blue58
406824.2
299625.8
17996.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70620501001502002506958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.2
26.726.9
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
red by 2.0
2996
#11
25.80.0
25.926.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End1.8
Second
1339
#10
21.50.2
20.520.6
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
blue by 2.6
24.20.0
24.324.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Third
4944
#30
15.80.2
14.714.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 9.2
1799
#15
6.60.0
6.76.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.7