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Red70
316614.9
203618.8
429322.6
Blue55
320016.7
441815.8
182220.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606002040801001201407055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.4
21.521.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 2.1
20.50.2
20.720.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Second
2036
#23
18.80.4
17.718.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 2.1
3200
#16
16.70.2
17.116.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Third
3166
#39
14.90.4
13.914.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 0.9
4418
#21
15.80.2
16.216.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End0.4