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Red53
197713.5
438828.1
161923.4
Blue85
372927.8
133921.5
494415.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736940506080901005385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.3
28.428.1
Auto12.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
red by 0.2
27.80.1
26.926.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
Second
23.40.3
23.723.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End0.2
red by 1.8
1339
#10
21.50.1
20.620.6
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
Third
1977
#20
13.50.3
13.813.5
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 2.3
4944
#30
15.80.1
14.914.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1