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Red64
316614.9
203618.8
429322.6
Blue75
324526.6
593313.3
449932.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5787020401001201401606475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.2
21.922.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 9.8
32.40.0
32.932.9
Auto13.9
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
2036
#23
18.80.2
18.118.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
blue by 7.9
3245
#14
26.60.0
27.127.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
Third
3166
#39
14.90.2
14.214.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 1.6
5933
#42
13.30.0
14.314.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7