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Red53
17318.3
109919.8
23021.5
Blue95
169942.6
346424.4
107113.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73900501001505395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#17
21.51.0
24.423.4
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End4.3
blue by 21.1
42.60.7
40.040.7
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End3.1
Second
1099
#13
19.81.0
21.920.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End2.1
blue by 4.6
3464
#12
24.40.7
26.427.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Third
173
#24
18.31.0
21.520.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 4.5
1071
#14
13.80.7
13.314.0
Auto6.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned