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Red86
634618.3
99924.9
206731.0
Blue69
346118.1
17521.6
216820.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886602040801001201408669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.5
31.431.9
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End4.4
red by 9.5
175
#21
21.60.4
22.823.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
999
#16
24.90.5
25.025.5
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 4.7
2168
#22
20.10.4
21.421.8
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.1
Third
6346
#19
18.30.5
20.721.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End1.2
red by 0.1
3461
#18
18.10.4
18.318.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed