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Red81
318224.2
19536.7
22817.3
Blue50
174026.6
740736.0
314622.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861100501001502008150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
36.70.3
37.937.6
Auto13.0
Teleop22.0
End1.7
red by 0.8
7407
#10
36.03.1
41.037.9
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
24.20.3
23.523.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
blue by 2.4
26.63.1
27.924.8
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
228
#11
17.30.3
18.918.6
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
blue by 4.7
3146
#23
22.13.1
27.424.3
Auto9.8
Teleop9.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed77%Ensemble oddsMissed