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Red121
17318.3
17642.1
169942.6
Blue85
346424.4
199113.3
55830.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122725010015020012185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.0
40.741.7
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End3.1
red by 11.8
558
#8
30.80.9
29.930.8
Auto7.5
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Second
176
#5
42.11.0
43.444.4
Auto15.1
Teleop25.1
End2.0
red by 17.8
3464
#12
24.40.9
27.128.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Third
173
#24
18.31.0
20.521.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 5.0
1991
#20
13.30.9
14.515.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned44%Ensemble oddsMissed