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Qual 192024 CT State Championships
Red86
17521.6
17736.6
99924.9
Blue61
346118.1
808526.8
109919.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96740501508661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#7
36.60.0
35.8→35.8
Auto12.1
Teleop22.0
End2.4
red by 9.7
8085
#15
26.81.0
29.8→28.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.4
End5.0
Second
999
#16
24.90.0
25.5→25.4
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 5.1
1099
#13
19.81.0
20.9→19.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Third
175
#21
21.60.0
23.2→23.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 3.5
3461
#18
18.11.0
18.7→17.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed