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Red82
15523.8
107113.8
206731.0
Blue58
216820.1
634618.3
23021.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777340601001208258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.8
31.932.7
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End4.4
red by 9.5
230
#17
21.50.9
23.422.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End4.3
Second
155
#6
23.80.8
23.624.4
Auto8.5
Teleop14.1
End1.2
red by 3.6
2168
#22
20.10.9
21.820.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.1
Third
1071
#14
13.80.8
14.014.8
Auto6.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 4.4
6346
#19
18.30.9
21.220.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed