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Qual 212024 CT State Championships
Red42
346424.4
22817.3
17318.3
Blue126
318224.2
174026.6
169942.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110305015042126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#12
24.41.9
28.0→26.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
blue by 18.3
1699
#1
42.61.1
41.7→42.7
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End3.1
Second
173
#24
18.31.9
21.5→19.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 8.3
1740
#9
26.61.1
24.8→25.9
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
228
#11
17.31.9
18.6→16.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
blue by 6.9
3182
#4
24.21.1
23.2→24.3
Auto9.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsEarned