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Qual 222024 CT State Championships
Red84
19536.7
17521.6
808526.8
Blue76
199113.3
17736.6
109919.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103750501508476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
36.70.7
37.6→36.9
Auto13.0
Teleop22.0
End1.7
red by 0.2
177
#7
36.60.2
35.8→36.0
Auto12.1
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Second
8085
#15
26.80.7
28.7→28.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.4
End5.0
red by 7.0
1099
#13
19.80.2
19.9→20.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Third
175
#21
21.60.7
23.2→22.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 8.3
1991
#20
13.30.2
15.4→15.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed