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Red74
17642.1
23021.5
346118.1
Blue72
740736.0
15523.8
634618.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94914060801001207472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#5
42.10.7
44.443.7
Auto15.1
Teleop25.1
End2.0
red by 6.1
7407
#10
36.00.7
37.937.2
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
230
#17
21.50.7
22.521.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End4.3
blue by 2.2
155
#6
23.80.7
24.423.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.1
End1.2
Third
3461
#18
18.10.7
17.717.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End0.4
blue by 0.1
6346
#19
18.30.7
20.319.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed