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Red61
107113.8
99924.9
314622.1
Blue86
206731.0
216820.1
55830.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67970501506186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#16
24.90.2
25.425.2
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.7
blue by 6.2
31.00.1
32.732.8
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Second
3146
#23
22.10.2
24.324.1
Auto9.8
Teleop9.5
End2.8
blue by 8.7
558
#8
30.80.1
30.830.9
Auto7.5
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Third
1071
#14
13.80.2
14.814.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 6.3
2168
#22
20.10.1
20.921.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsMissed