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Qual 252024 CT State Championships
Red51
199113.3
17318.3
17521.6
Blue103
17736.6
22817.3
174026.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609105010015051103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#21
21.60.8
22.5→21.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
blue by 15.0
177
#7
36.61.0
36.0→36.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Second
173
#24
18.30.8
19.6→18.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 8.3
1740
#9
26.61.0
25.9→26.9
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
1991
#20
13.30.8
15.6→14.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 4.0
228
#11
17.31.0
16.8→17.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned