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Red99
740736.0
109919.8
346424.4
Blue76
55830.8
634618.3
22817.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96782040601201401609976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#10
36.00.9
41.942.8
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.3
red by 5.2
558
#8
30.80.4
30.329.8
Auto7.5
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Second
3464
#12
24.40.9
24.725.7
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 6.1
6346
#19
18.30.4
22.121.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Third
1099
#13
19.80.9
18.319.3
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 2.5
228
#11
17.30.4
20.019.6
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
71%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed