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Red88
17521.6
17642.1
107113.8
Blue89
206731.0
318224.2
199113.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917702040601001201401608889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#5
42.10.2
40.841.0
Auto15.1
Teleop25.1
End2.0
red by 11.1
31.00.7
34.335.0
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Second
175
#21
21.60.2
26.626.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
blue by 2.6
24.20.7
22.623.3
Auto9.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Third
1071
#14
13.80.2
13.113.2
Auto6.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
red by 0.5
1991
#20
13.30.7
14.214.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed71%Ensemble oddsEarned