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Red56
107113.8
23021.5
199113.3
Blue56
17736.6
216820.1
318224.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549701505656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#17
21.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End4.3
blue by 15.0
177
#7
36.6
Auto12.1
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Second
1071
#14
13.8
Auto6.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 10.4
24.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Third
1991
#20
13.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 6.8
2168
#22
20.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed