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Red79
17521.6
206731.0
740736.0
Blue90
808526.8
169942.6
22817.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119964060801401601802007990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#10
36.01.8
42.841.0
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.3
blue by 6.6
42.60.3
39.539.2
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End3.1
Second
31.01.8
35.033.2
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End4.4
red by 4.2
8085
#15
26.80.3
30.330.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.4
End5.0
Third
175
#21
21.61.8
26.825.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 4.2
228
#11
17.30.3
19.619.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
86%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed