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Red111
22817.3
99924.9
17642.1
Blue78
15523.8
107113.8
808526.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99672040608012014016011178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#5
42.10.6
42.543.1
Auto15.1
Teleop25.1
End2.0
red by 15.3
8085
#15
26.80.2
26.927.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.4
End5.0
Second
999
#16
24.90.6
25.225.8
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 1.1
155
#6
23.80.2
23.824.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.1
End1.2
Third
228
#11
17.30.6
17.718.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
red by 3.5
1071
#14
13.80.2
13.914.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4