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Red64
346118.1
206731.0
174026.6
Blue83
634618.3
346424.4
55830.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858102040601001201406483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.5
31.330.8
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End4.4
red by 0.3
558
#8
30.80.1
31.030.9
Auto7.5
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Second
26.60.5
26.926.4
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End3.2
red by 2.3
3464
#12
24.40.1
24.624.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Third
3461
#18
18.10.5
18.417.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End0.4
blue by 0.1
6346
#19
18.30.1
18.418.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End1.2