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Red86
346118.1
206731.0
174026.6
Blue94
216820.1
318224.2
17521.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857102040601001201401608694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.2
30.831.0
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End4.4
red by 6.9
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Second
26.60.2
26.426.6
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End3.2
red by 5.1
175
#21
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Third
3461
#18
18.10.2
17.918.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End0.4
blue by 2.0
2168
#22
20.10.0
20.120.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.1