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Red106
199113.3
19536.7
169942.6
Blue73
17642.1
99924.9
22817.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099440608012014016010673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.1
44.044.1
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End3.1
red by 0.5
176
#5
42.10.5
43.142.5
Auto15.1
Teleop25.1
End2.0
Second
195
#2
36.70.1
38.138.2
Auto13.0
Teleop22.0
End1.7
red by 11.9
999
#16
24.90.5
25.825.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Third
1991
#20
13.30.1
14.714.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 4.0
228
#11
17.30.5
18.317.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End-0.2