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Red87
55830.8
346424.4
634618.3
Blue93
23021.5
17736.6
109919.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809002040601001201401608793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
30.80.1
30.931.0
Auto7.5
Teleop20.0
End3.2
blue by 5.8
177
#7
36.60.3
37.337.6
Auto12.1
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Second
3464
#12
24.40.1
24.524.6
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 2.8
230
#17
21.50.3
22.222.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End4.3
Third
6346
#19
18.30.1
18.418.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End1.2
blue by 1.5
1099
#13
19.80.3
20.520.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End2.1