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Red46
57114.9
174019.8
107114.8
Blue32
318218.3
17314.9
51129.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423201020506070804632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.0
15.816.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
red by 1.5
3182
#11
18.30.2
11.111.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Second
571
#8
14.91.0
11.112.1
Auto2.3
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Level
173
#21
14.90.2
9.39.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Third
1071
#23
14.81.0
10.011.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 5.7
5112
#32
9.10.2
9.910.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed