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Red23
18110.1
23620.7
19919.2
Blue49
331420.7
808522.4
17723.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306202040802349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#7
20.70.9
12.311.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
blue by 2.5
177
#10
23.30.3
17.417.1
Auto11.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Second
181
#31
10.10.9
9.18.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
blue by 12.3
22.40.3
17.016.7
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
1991
#17
9.20.9
9.88.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 11.5
20.70.3
17.517.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed