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Red16
21706.6
314614.9
49876.8
Blue27
974.9
20646.6
346415.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3631010204050601627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#16
14.92.6
13.110.5
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 1.0
3464
#12
15.90.2
11.411.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Second
4987
#18
6.82.6
6.43.8
Auto0.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
red by 0.2
2064
#29
6.60.2
8.78.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End0.3
Third
2170
#30
6.62.6
12.710.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.1
red by 1.8
97
#28
4.90.2
8.48.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed