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Red42
808522.4
77604.8
176827.0
Blue30
36344.7
20646.6
331420.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43381020305060704230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.7
9.810.5
Auto10.4
Teleop15.9
End0.8
red by 6.4
20.71.0
18.517.5
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Second
22.40.7
16.417.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 15.8
2064
#29
6.61.0
9.78.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End0.3
Third
7760
#27
4.80.7
9.810.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End1.9
red by 0.1
3634
#33
4.71.0
8.87.8
Auto3.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed