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Red40
740725.9
18110.1
57114.9
Blue42
318218.3
314614.9
769413.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46401020305060704042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#13
25.90.3
20.219.9
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End4.4
red by 7.7
3182
#11
18.30.7
11.711.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Second
571
#8
14.90.3
11.411.1
Auto2.3
Teleop11.7
End0.9
blue by 0.1
3146
#16
14.90.7
13.813.1
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
181
#31
10.10.3
9.49.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
blue by 3.4
7694
#22
13.50.7
11.410.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed