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Red61
17520.7
21706.6
331420.7
Blue41
712715.0
169924.8
36344.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4236203050606141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#5
20.71.5
13.915.4
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End0.4
blue by 4.1
24.80.9
18.419.2
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
20.71.5
15.717.2
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 5.7
7127
#19
15.00.9
9.910.7
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
Third
2170
#30
6.61.5
7.99.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.1
red by 1.9
3634
#33
4.70.9
5.15.9
Auto3.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed