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Red38
919312.5
22815.5
314614.9
Blue59
801322.2
57114.9
346415.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44533040506070803859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#24
15.50.9
16.515.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 6.7
22.20.9
19.618.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End4.0
Second
3146
#16
14.90.9
12.912.1
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 1.0
3464
#12
15.90.9
10.89.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
9193
#14
12.50.9
11.310.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 2.4
571
#8
14.90.9
16.315.5
Auto2.3
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed